AFL $75,000+ SWANS V HAWKS
This one feels like a real low-scoring game where coaches will have to really grind out a win – picking the ceiling players may not be the play here.
Both the Hawks and Swans are coming off good fantasy games so it can be easy to get tricked here at selection as recent form is misleading.
Firstly they won’t be playing at the MCG, so all the Hawks runners who junked up last start should see a significant drop.
Secondly the Swans are unlikely to belt the Hawks like they did to the Eagles – Sydney snuck up on West Coast but Hawthorn will be prepared for their very best.
This team is a more contested, balanced side with a few value/POD picks sprinkled in for good measure.
Here is my team you can consider using, or building around, for the Swans v hawks $75,000+
Lance Franklin ($11,590): Buddy kicked 5.4 last against the Eagles and there is no reason why he can’t do it again (or every week for that matter). Think he will be pretty popular again tonight, roughly 25-30% owned. With the Hawks depleted down back sans Stratton I just think Bud is a solid play, if he is on and you don’t have him it’s good night.
Dylan Moore ($8,100): Moore has yet to put both sides of his game together. He is capable of playing in the midfield and racking up disposals, and also capable of tackle counts, but so far his ceiling has been checked at around the 65pt mark. He had 53pts to half time last week and finished the game on 56pts (uninjured!) To me there are more positives than negatives there and I’m happy to go back in case he puts two halves together and smashes value at low ownership.
Isaac Heeney ($12,340): Heeney should remain in the midfield despite Kennedy returning. A pretty safe selection with a solid 90pt floor and a great 30pt ceiling. The kind of inside/outside guy who can score well against the Hawks at the SCG. Be pretty chalky you’d expect.
Jeager O’Meara ($12,600): Someone who is unlikely to garner much ownership is the Jeager bomb who has been tagged pretty well recently. Hewett likely gets the job tonight but I am still liking JOM’s chances of three figures. He has a double figure tackle count in him and he is coming off a game where he laid zero tackles which would have been looked at. Can see him beasting for a quarter then getting curtailed for a 100-110pt finish which is fine at his price tag.
James Worpel ($12,930): One of my favourite guys and i just had the money so couldn’t resist. Does it all. Can find it, can get it himself, can tackle and push forward. Same floor as JJK/Shiels/Parker for almost 2k less. Lock him in for a ton.
Oliver Florent ($10,620): Anytime i play at the SCG I always try and have alot more Oli than the field because he is a player who can just have ‘that’ game where he peels off a 30+ disposal night at sub 15% ownership. Got a good solid 70+ floor too so he won’t kill your side is he fizzles.
Zac Jones ($10,950): Back into the team and likely to pick up where he left off across half back. No Thurlow or McVeigh tonight which means Jones should see as much of it as he wants. If you can’t afford Lloyd (which we can’t), then Jones is your play.
James Frawley ($6,590): Chip peeled off an 80+ last start and I can see him getting close again. Should get Buddy either first or after he towells Brand so will be in the thick of it defensively. Has two scores 10x value of more in the last month but also has one of the lowest floors in fantasy footy so beware. I’ll take anything over 50 tonight.
Ben McEvoy ($13,780): Biggest POD play tonight is in the ruck where we get McEvoy second up against Sinclair. The field will take the savings and play Reid, Ceglar and Sinclair before selecting McEvoy which means we should get him at around 15% ownership. he can put 30-40pts on them here.
AFL SCORING SYSTEM
Kick = 3 points
Mark = 3 points
Handball = 2 points
Goal = 6 points
Behind = 1 point
Tackle = 4 points
Free Kick For = 1 point
Free Kick Against = -3 points
Hitout = 1 point