FOX SPORTS: NFL $6,000+ MONDAY BEST BUYS
By Phil Prior (@phil_prior) and Laurie Horesh (@LaurieHoresh)
LAST week’s weather was an abrupt reminder December football’s a different beast.
On paper, Giants megastar Odell Beckham’s in line for a monster day. But maybe an OBJ fade is on the forecast.
Welcome to the Week 14 Best Buys.
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PODCAST! Fox Fantasy analyst Phil Prior sits down with in-house NFL mogul Laurie Horesh, breaking down the Week 14 matchups, best plays and stay-aways.
Quarterback
Russell Wilson, SEA ($15,750) @ GB
The Seahawks’ signal-caller’s ownership percentage may dip after a 3:1 interception to touchdown ratio over the last fortnight, but this is Green Bay on the menu, ranked 2nd in QB points allowance in November.
Andy Dalton, CIN ($16,650) @ CLE
Looked impressive last time out against Philadelphia and now pays Cleveland a visit, a fantasy haven for QBs. It’s been a down year in Cincinnati, but this is a great spot for the red rifle to fire.
Also in play:
Phillip Rivers, SD ($16,150) @ CAR
Matthew Stafford, DET ($13,950) v CHI
Running Back
Jeremy Hill, CIN ($12,450) @ CLE
The game script calls for a big dose of down Hill running from the Bengals bulldozer. No need to rub salt in the wound and run through the Browns’ numbers.
Derrick Henry, TEN ($6,000) v DEN
Take a walk down cheap street. Henry’s snap count and red zone presence are both rising, with Coach Mularkey talking increased short-yardage work for the mammoth rookie. After out-gaining DeMarco Murray ($17,250) before the bye, Denver’s 26th ranked run defence means the Alabama bruiser is an explosive value play.
Also in play:
Thomas Rawls, SEA ($10,250) @ GB
Matt Forte, NYJ ($12,550) @ SF
Rob Kelley, WAS ($8,900) @ PHI
Wide Receiver
Odell Beckham, NYG ($18,250) v DAL
OBJ often struggles to shine against Dallas, particularly when lined up on Cowboys CB Morris Claiborne (0 TDs in 3 games). But with the Dallas defender out of action, it’s a very different equation for the Giants’ star — four TDs in two Claiborne-less games.
BUT: if the chance of rain continues to rise, pivot off OBJ. Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans ($20,200), for example, has the injury-hit Saints.
Emmanual Sanders, DEN ($10,650) @ TEN
Tennessee present the most generous defence for wide receivers in fantasy, and with Sanders getting 10 looks a game the numbers point to the Bronco starting in your line-up (with the key caveat of Trevor Siemian starting against the Titans).
Also in play:
Doug Baldwin, SEA ($12,850) @ GB
Jarvis Landry, MIA ($10,600) v ARI
Pierre Garcon, WAS ($8,100) @ PHI
Tight End
Jimmy Graham, SEA ($11,600) @ GB
Have you seen the Packers defend the middle of the field lately? Because I haven’t. Green Bay rank 29th in coverage up the seam, meaning wide open spaces for Graham to roam free, with the Wisconsin cold making the 6’7” freight-train an even less appetising tackle than usual.
Jason Witten, DAL ($8,600) @ NYG
‘Old Man Witt’ (as Ezekiel Elliott has dubbed him) has seven scores in his last seven games against the Giants, who are giving up 9 catches per contest to tight ends in 2016. Throw in defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul’s absence on the edge, and that could free up a heavier receiving role for the burly Cowboy.
Jermaine Gresham, ARI ($5,000) @ MIA
Gresham’s still bottom dollar despite double-figure PPR output three weeks running, with at least four catches or a score in his last four. And given what Baltimore TE Dennis Pitta did on the same Dolphins secondary last week (a TD hat-trick), set expectations high for the Cardinal.
Also in play:
Tyler Eiffert, CIN ($11,750) @ CLE
Zach Etrz, PHI ($9,350) v WAS
Defence/ST
Bengals ($6,650) @ CLE
You know why. Don’t overcomplicate things… earn a little extra Christmas filling for your stocking.
Phil Prior and Laurie Horesh write about all things NFL and fantasy.
Fox Sports is the home of daily fantasy content, geared to Australian platform Draftstars.
NFL SCORING SYSTEM:
OFFENSE
Pass TD = 4 pts
1 Pass Yard = 0.04 pts
Interception = -1 pts
1 Rush Yard = 0.1 pts
Rush TD = 6 pts
1 Receiving Yard = 0.1pts
Reception TD = 6 pts
Reception = 1pt
Return TD = 6 pts
2 pt Conversion = 2pts
Lost Fumble = -2pts
DEFENSE
Sack = 1 pt
Interception = 2 pts
Fumble Recovery = 2 pts
Touchdown = 6 pts
Safety = 2 pts
Blocked Kick = 2 pts
Kickoff/PR Touchdown = 6 pts
Points allowed – 0 = 10 pts
Points allowed – 1-6 = 7 pts
Points allowed – 7-13 = 4 pts
Points allowed – 14-20 = 1 pt
Points allowed – 21-27 = 0 pts
Points allowed – 28-34 = -1 pt
Points allowed – 35+ = -4 pts
Catch all the NFL action live on ESPN Channel 508 and wake up with the NFL Redzone team on Monday morning from 5am AEDT.